Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.065410 0.070645 0.075931 0.081659 0.087684 0.093825 0.100552
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.055940 0.063584 0.071569 0.080503 0.090193 0.100358 0.111799
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.049255 0.058659 0.068789 0.080446 0.093425 0.107370 0.123421
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.043849 0.054549 0.066404 0.080395 0.096338 0.113824 0.134336
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.041151 0.053167 0.066808 0.083252 0.102349 0.123650 0.149018
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.038108 0.051072 0.066135 0.084659 0.106556 0.131352 0.161289
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.035350 0.049061 0.065345 0.085745 0.110249 0.138383 0.172764
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.032153 0.046251 0.063372 0.085218 0.111879 0.142900 0.181254
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.030165 0.044798 0.062919 0.086416 0.115481 0.149685 0.192388
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.027591 0.042400 0.061124 0.085811 0.116778 0.153641 0.200122
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025713 0.040782 0.060202 0.086195 0.119208 0.158909 0.209403
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024459 0.039914 0.060173 0.087651 0.122930 0.165730 0.220571
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024192 0.040426 0.062007 0.091598 0.129925 0.176752 0.237109
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021550 0.037432 0.059029 0.089159 0.128729 0.177610 0.241198
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019755 0.035535 0.057433 0.088453 0.129684 0.181104 0.248522
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018213 0.033906 0.056119 0.088047 0.130971 0.184982 0.256318
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017828 0.033999 0.057204 0.090893 0.136539 0.194321 0.271015
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017025 0.033389 0.057246 0.092281 0.140169 0.201203 0.282660
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016192 0.032678 0.057099 0.093374 0.143391 0.207567 0.293681
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.014950 0.031223 0.055792 0.092782 0.144305 0.210925 0.300876
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014291 0.030682 0.055807 0.094035 0.147706 0.217520 0.312236
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.013191 0.029325 0.054530 0.093383 0.148464 0.220638 0.319124
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.012428 0.028491 0.054006 0.093785 0.150648 0.225620 0.328429